“You swan, he frog” is a comment left on a blogger’s post about having to say goodbye to her boyfriend on a Chinese social media site. The white blogger, who goes by YouKris, left a tearful photo on the platform and Chinese users rushed to offer words of comfort, make jokes, or trash her boyfriend’s looks.
“you pretty, he ugly, you swan, he frog!” one commenter wrote.
“you pretty, he ugly, you swan, he frog!” one commenter wrote.
by itZzzzzzz August 19, 2024
Get the you swan, he frog mug.The output of the removal of "a", decapitalazation of "B", and separation of "bot", and "swan" in "Botswana"
by XXaannaallaanniiaanothehe March 14, 2024
Get the bot swan mug.The Grey Swan Guild. Is a virtual Think Tank that was formed in 2020 by a group of people around the world responding to large scale events with better tools and better communications to become more resilient. There goal is to make the world a better place through Sensemaking and Futures thinking.
We wanted to join the Grey Swan Guild in order to build out a "GSG Thousand Day Radar" ... it's one of their tools to help access the future and become more resilient. It's like TED but without all the glitz and flash.... It's the 5 weeks not the 15 minutes.
by robtyrie March 29, 2024
Get the Grey Swan Guild mug.A large scale impactful event that, with first order second order effects, impacts over a billion people in surprising ways. Though the event is surprising, it has actually been predicted or was likely to happen based on people that call themselves futurists and economists arguing both sides of every argument. Gray swans by default tend to be negative. Covid-19 was a graceful event has defined by the The Grey Swan Guild, a global think tank that studies these types of occurrences along with Grey Rhinos, Green Swans, White Alligator, and Black Jellyfish.
ROB: I'M PRETTY SURE THAT WAS A "GREY SWAN". NO ONE EXPECTED THAT ROCKET TO CRASH INTO THE INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION.
SEAN: Stop shouting and think. According to my quick research on perplexity and our website Prediction Market.. there was a 5% chance that one of the rockets or shuttles would crash into the ISS it's just a matter of gravity. Those are actually pretty good odds I can't believe it wasn't more defense on the ISS!
SEAN: Stop shouting and think. According to my quick research on perplexity and our website Prediction Market.. there was a 5% chance that one of the rockets or shuttles would crash into the ISS it's just a matter of gravity. Those are actually pretty good odds I can't believe it wasn't more defense on the ISS!
by robtyrie March 29, 2024
Get the Grey Swan mug.by Katsus December 15, 2024
Get the Meat Swan mug.by suck_my_d33 January 12, 2025
Get the bella swan mug.The theory, central to Taleb's work, that rare, high-impact, unpredictable events—Black Swans—shape history far more than ordinary, predictable events. A Black Swan has three characteristics: it is unpredictable (no one sees it coming), it has massive impact (it changes everything), and after the fact, we concoct explanations that make it seem predictable (hindsight bias). The theory argues that we are blind to Black Swans because we focus on what we know, on the predictable, on the bell curve—while history is made by what we don't know, by the unpredictable, by the outliers. The financial crisis of 2008 was a Black Swan: unpredicted by most models, catastrophic in impact, and afterward explained by experts who claimed they'd seen it coming. Black Swan Theory is the foundation of a worldview that expects the unexpected and builds systems that can survive it.
Example: "His models predicted steady growth forever. Then the pandemic hit—a Black Swan. Unpredicted, catastrophic, and afterward everyone claimed they'd seen it coming. Black Swan Theory had warned him to prepare for the unpredictable, but he'd ignored it. His models were beautiful and useless; the Black Swan had made them both."
by Dumu The Void March 7, 2026
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