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nate-silver-thirty

(noun)

parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes

(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
“After realizing her model to predict economic growth didn’t include enough details, and was therefore predicting too narrow a range of possible outcomes, she nate-silver-thirty (ed) her model to get a more satisfactory appearing distribution of outcomes.”
by stats_definer August 28, 2020
mugGet the nate-silver-thirtymug.

thirty-six

Some one that you don't know if they are black or white? Hangs around a projection booth all day grabbin on my white ass.
Dude! Thirty-six just grabbed my white ass!
by Jasonpyoung January 2, 2009
mugGet the thirty-sixmug.

the thirty

the thirty means to stick your middle finger up at somebody
your middle finger is the third finger.. so on a football field it would be the thirty yard line..... hints the name the thirty
yo he just gave you the thirty
by izzon May 4, 2008
mugGet the the thirtymug.

zero-dark-thirty

Period from 12:00 AM to 5:59 AM.
Zero-dark-thirty.
by Çyñywynny October 24, 2025
mugGet the zero-dark-thirtymug.

Tequila Thirty

Half an hour after Beer O Clock
Wow! Beer O Clock already ! Soon to be followed by Tequila Thirty !
by urbmik March 5, 2011
mugGet the Tequila Thirtymug.

bed-thirty

Term used to denote how tired you are. Half-past when you should've have gone to bed.
*Yawn* It is bed-thirty. I've got to get up early to go to work in the morning.
by Shwords February 3, 2010
mugGet the bed-thirtymug.

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