PSEUDOGARBOYLE CHANCEY- Chancey produces three eggs, which may themselves be used as throwing items.
For simplicity, let P(atleast one egg being effectively thrown)= P(all eggs falling or being thrown
off of the map or left unused).
Now we can ignore those contributions since the
probability of the former occurrance more than offsets the
probability of the latter occurrance.
The CHANCE, since 13 of 16 items are damaging, that atleast one egg contains a damage-inflicting item is
P(atleast 1 egg contains damaging item) = 100% * (1 - (3/16)^3) = 99.34%.
Chancey breeds violence through progeny-induced means with over 99% certainty.
PSEUDOGARBOYLE CLEFAIRY- Clefairy mimics one of the other 12 pokemon, and since only 2 of these are pure garboyles, the
probability that Clefairy mimics a violent pokemon, P(mimicking violence)= 100% * (10/12) = 83.33%.
Through self-induced means, Clefairy engenders violence with over 83% certainty.
