(noun)
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
“After realizing her model to predict economic growth didn’t include enough details, and was therefore predicting too narrow a range of possible outcomes, she nate-silver-thirty (ed) her model to get a more satisfactory appearing distribution of outcomes.”
by stats_definer August 28, 2020
Get the nate-silver-thirtymug. The coolest guy ever. He's an amazing friend and is always there when you need him. He seems distant, but when you get to know him you'll never let him go. He can break a girl's heart, but he never means too. Also, gives the best hugs and gifts.
Nate's are the best
by basketballaddict24 May 20, 2022
Get the Natemug. he’s probably a bottom
and he has a face that looks squishable. like you want to just hold his face in your hands.
he’s pretty quiet unless you come across some thing he loves.
he loves to playfully mess with you and play fight
and he has a face that looks squishable. like you want to just hold his face in your hands.
he’s pretty quiet unless you come across some thing he loves.
he loves to playfully mess with you and play fight
he looks like a nate
by hum@n_be!ng August 6, 2022
Get the natemug. by Ur a hoe December 6, 2019
Get the Natemug. An absolute weirdo from the northeast who’s rich but denies and has a foot fetish and is also leading on a prince from the middle east
by drakesnewwhore November 29, 2021
Get the Natemug. by villt October 5, 2020
Get the Natemug. 