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nate-silver-thirty

(noun)

parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes

(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
“After realizing her model to predict economic growth didn’t include enough details, and was therefore predicting too narrow a range of possible outcomes, she nate-silver-thirty (ed) her model to get a more satisfactory appearing distribution of outcomes.”
by stats_definer August 28, 2020
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point minus thirty-free

when you've been so out of touch with the world and are suddenly invited to a job interview.
"do i go naked. do i speak french-russian. do i remove my piercings. do i offer to work for free. do i say please and thank you."
"woman, you are point zero, no, point minus thirty-free."
by Krkič September 25, 2020
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shoot the thirty

to fight someone it said that it is going to take you thirty minutes to fight him
I'ma shoot the thirty with these gangs or they kick my ass
by y.east on tha track June 26, 2021
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Zero Pants Thirty

The time that you must appear dressed and presentable on a company Zoom call. Te time you have to brush your hair and put on real clothes, not pajamas.
I have a customer update at 7 AM. Zero Pants Thirty is early today.
by SnowPatrol October 19, 2021
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[last name]thirty

last namethirty is a time when any particular individual shows up to work. Might be 9am. Might be 9:30am. Depends on a number of factors and the individual (i.e. border, traffic, weather, illness, bad burrito, etc.).
Employee 1: Where's last name at? What time is he coming in?
Employee 2: I don't know.. maybe last namethirty? He texted last night and mentioned something about having some bad Mexican food at this new place... might be a bad burrito slowing him down...
by Kap21 November 12, 2021
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What I call homo-sapiens who are addicted to perianal abscesses.
Person 1: I generated Thirty Five back smackers.
by LeSouffleDeVersailles February 2, 2025
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zero-dark-thirty

1- Period between 00:00 (midnight) until 05:59 (5:59 AM).
2- Period between 00:00 (midnight) until 06:00 (6:00 AM).
3- Period between midnight until dawn.
Zero-dark-thirty.
by ÝÝÝ ÝÝÝ ÝÝÝ ÝÝÝ February 3, 2026
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