(noun)
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
“After realizing her model to predict economic growth didn’t include enough details, and was therefore predicting too narrow a range of possible outcomes, she nate-silver-thirty (ed) her model to get a more satisfactory appearing distribution of outcomes.”
by stats_definer August 28, 2020
Get the nate-silver-thirty mug.A group containing 10 white males and three brown males. Although on a urban sense only one of the members can say the N word theres rougly six who use it whenever they find necessary. The eleven thirtys in their free time enjoy hitting the bub, seizing, docing, and all sorts of schenagins.
by ScrapieCrapie December 10, 2017
Get the Eleven Thirty’s mug.Oh-dark-thirty.
by ÑÇWÑÇWÑÇWÑÇWÑÇWÑÇW August 7, 2025
Get the oh-dark-thirty mug.by Grandarthma July 17, 2025
Get the Egg-thirty mug.<.7.9.7.6.>Thirty Inidivduals Consentually Struck Angel Jose RObles <Hellstrom Imaweli Tanna> At His Consentual Behest Because THey As Inidividuals Did Not Care If Saheem Malik Valdery Is Scared Of Purchasing Nike/Atmos Collaborated Products<.7.9.7.6.>
<.7.9.7.6.>Thirty Inidivduals Consentually Struck Angel Jose RObles <Hellstrom Imaweli Tanna> At His Consentual Behest Because THey As Inidividuals Did Not Care If Saheem Malik Valdery Is Scared Of Purchasing Nike/Atmos Collaborated Products<.7.9.7.6.>
by Adujasty343 June 15, 2025
Get the <.7.9.7.6.>Thirty Inidivduals Consentually Struck Angel Jose RObles <Hellstrom Imaweli Tanna> At His Consentual Behest Because THey As Inidividuals Did Not Care If Saheem Malik Valdery Is Scared Of Purchasing Nike/Atmos Collaborated Products<.7.9.7.6.> mug.by Nino@1 March 21, 2022
Get the Seven Thirty mug.Having a quicky on your lunch break
by Your New Stepdad August 2, 2019
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