(noun)
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
parameters and/or random noise added to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
(verb)
to add spurious adjustable parameters and/or random noise to a predictive model to enable the model to appear to include a wider variety of outcomes than the fundamental mechanism of the model actually includes
to artificially inflate your estimate of a very unlikely event occurring to ~30% with no justification within your model, simply so you can cover your ass should the unlikely event occur, all while retaining the option to claim that you predicted, with better than 2/3rd probability, that the unlikely event would not occur.
“After realizing her model to predict economic growth didn’t include enough details, and was therefore predicting too narrow a range of possible outcomes, she nate-silver-thirty (ed) her model to get a more satisfactory appearing distribution of outcomes.”
by stats_definer August 28, 2020
Get the nate-silver-thirtymug. Verb. Pejorative. Australian vernacular.
1. A person who brushes his teeth once a week and subsequently has brown rotting teeth
2. Someone who steals money, supplements, vapes and used gym towels from their flatmates
3. A person who goes 3 months without doing laundry or changing his sheets despite repeated pleas from their flatmates to address the awful stench coming from their room
1. A person who brushes his teeth once a week and subsequently has brown rotting teeth
2. Someone who steals money, supplements, vapes and used gym towels from their flatmates
3. A person who goes 3 months without doing laundry or changing his sheets despite repeated pleas from their flatmates to address the awful stench coming from their room
by FrankieFunTime December 18, 2023
Get the Natemug. An amazingly cute, funny boy who will steal your heart. Loves a girl so hard but is too shy to tell her. If you meet one don’t let him go. He has the cutest hair and the most beautiful hazel eyes. The class clown and can play a killer clarinet. The one who spam clicks and ends up in 19th place in Kahoot. There were 18 players.
Emma:”Wow, that boy is SO cute and funny! Do you think I could hook up with him?”
Jazmine:” No, Nate is in love with Marrin and has been since he first saw her.
You have no chance.”
Jazmine:” No, Nate is in love with Marrin and has been since he first saw her.
You have no chance.”
by Trash bag in the bathroom December 27, 2019
Get the Natemug. by big 30 June 9, 2022
Get the nate hi66ersmug. by Олащкбкт April 3, 2025
Get the Natemug. by Ur a hoe December 6, 2019
Get the Natemug. A Nate is someone who can light up a room with just a smile. His laugh is like music, and he makes everyone happier. He is extremely smart and even more handsome. Once you get him as a friend he will be truthful to you and never let you down. He's always kind to everyone he meets, but is willing to poke fun when he gets the chance. He is a great friend and boyfriend, and is easy to love.
by basketballaddict24 February 7, 2022
Get the Natemug.