A framework for evaluating the plausibility and probability of phenomena that seem supernatural, paranormal, or otherwise beyond ordinary explanation—such as spiritual experiences with gods (dreams, visions, visitations), levitation when no one is watching, or other anomalous events. The law proposes that such phenomena should not be dismissed outright but evaluated along multiple dimensions: internal consistency (does the account make sense on its own terms?), external coherence (does it align with known facts?), source reliability (is the witness credible?), and explanatory power (does it explain what needs explaining?). The law also acknowledges that probability is not static—what seems impossible today may become plausible tomorrow as understanding expands. The Law of Plausibility and Possible Probability doesn't prove such phenomena real; it provides a framework for taking them seriously without requiring belief.
Example: "She'd had vivid dreams of a goddess for years—not hallucinations but experiences, real to her, transformative. Skeptics dismissed them as imagination. The Law of Plausibility and Possible Probability offered another view: internally consistent, externally coherent with her life, source reliable (her own experience), explanatory (it explained her peace). Not proof, but plausibility. She didn't need belief; she needed the space to consider that some things might be real even if unproven."
by Dumu The Void February 19, 2026
Get the Law of Plausibility and Possible Probability mug.The principle that ad hoc constructions open up possibilities that didn't previously exist—they create new explanations, new solutions, new paths forward that weren't available before. Ad hoc reasoning is not just a fallback; it's a creative act, generating novelty in response to particular situations. The law of the ad hoc possibility celebrates this creativity while warning that not all possibilities are good ones. Ad hoc possibility is the source of innovation (the temporary fix that becomes permanent) and of deception (the lie that works once). It's a tool, neutral in itself, powerful in application.
Example: "Her ad hoc solution to the scheduling conflict—swapping shifts with a colleague, then covering for someone else, then working through lunch—created a possibility that didn't exist before: everyone got what they needed, for one day only. The law of the ad hoc possibility said: this is what ad hoc does—it creates possibilities. The schedule went back to chaos tomorrow, but today worked."
by Dumu The Void February 17, 2026
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by TheGeneralGenitalsPranksterian April 28, 2025
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