robtyrie's definitions
A person with an insufficient knowledge of math and statistics, who chooses to predict growth of a complex exponential phenomena with linear models and grade school math. See COVIdiot Dunning Kruger, COVID19, and Bad behavior.
Boss, it's not a proposal or a brief, it's a pandemic, people may follow your advice and get hurt or as worse, hurt others. Don't be an extrapolidiot .
by robtyrie April 1, 2020
Get the Extrapolidiotmug. The Grey Swan Guild. Is a virtual Think Tank that was formed in 2020 by a group of people around the world responding to large scale events with better tools and better communications to become more resilient. There goal is to make the world a better place through Sensemaking and Futures thinking.
We wanted to join the Grey Swan Guild in order to build out a "GSG Thousand Day Radar" ... it's one of their tools to help access the future and become more resilient. It's like TED but without all the glitz and flash.... It's the 5 weeks not the 15 minutes.
by robtyrie March 29, 2024
Get the Grey Swan Guildmug. Reflexion, is a new method of getting ChatGPT and any autoregressive GPT to check its work, AFTER it generates answer. The answers, now that it is in STM, is used in a prompt, following any generation. It can be used multiple times. Answers get better and there are less are what some people call “Hallucinations”. See: Helper Agent. This was not coined by any symbolic ai scientist.
Tammy: Refection, Ok you made that up! I call BS!?!
Rob: No… its is real… there’s research, it’s reflection with an “X”… REFLEXION makes the AI do recursion. you cna use it to check ChatGPT and get it to tell the truth and corrrect itself… It’s the opposite. It reduces the BS
Tammy: This… you need! Wait. What? Recursion??? That’s amazing!
Rob: No… its is real… there’s research, it’s reflection with an “X”… REFLEXION makes the AI do recursion. you cna use it to check ChatGPT and get it to tell the truth and corrrect itself… It’s the opposite. It reduces the BS
Tammy: This… you need! Wait. What? Recursion??? That’s amazing!
by robtyrie April 7, 2023
Get the Reflexionmug. A large scale impactful event that, with first order second order effects, impacts over a billion people in surprising ways. Though the event is surprising, it has actually been predicted or was likely to happen based on people that call themselves futurists and economists arguing both sides of every argument. Gray swans by default tend to be negative. Covid-19 was a graceful event has defined by the The Grey Swan Guild, a global think tank that studies these types of occurrences along with Grey Rhinos, Green Swans, White Alligator, and Black Jellyfish.
ROB: I'M PRETTY SURE THAT WAS A "GREY SWAN". NO ONE EXPECTED THAT ROCKET TO CRASH INTO THE INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION.
SEAN: Stop shouting and think. According to my quick research on perplexity and our website Prediction Market.. there was a 5% chance that one of the rockets or shuttles would crash into the ISS it's just a matter of gravity. Those are actually pretty good odds I can't believe it wasn't more defense on the ISS!
SEAN: Stop shouting and think. According to my quick research on perplexity and our website Prediction Market.. there was a 5% chance that one of the rockets or shuttles would crash into the ISS it's just a matter of gravity. Those are actually pretty good odds I can't believe it wasn't more defense on the ISS!
by robtyrie March 29, 2024
Get the Grey Swanmug. Fauxparadox; (noun) /fō-ˈpärə-ˌdäks/
Etymology:
From the French word "faux" meaning "false" + the Greek word "paradoxos" meaning "contrary to expectation."
Definition:
A situation or statement that appears to be paradoxical or contradictory at first glance but can be resolved or explained with deeper analysis or additional information. Fauxparadoxes are often found as part of false conspiracy theories to attract acolytes.
Etymology:
From the French word "faux" meaning "false" + the Greek word "paradoxos" meaning "contrary to expectation."
Definition:
A situation or statement that appears to be paradoxical or contradictory at first glance but can be resolved or explained with deeper analysis or additional information. Fauxparadoxes are often found as part of false conspiracy theories to attract acolytes.
Sylvia: Rob, when you mentioned the the term fauxparadox, it reminded me of the classic "chicken or the egg" dilemma. But with modern evolutionary biology, we understand that it's more of a fauxparadox since birds evolved from reptiles, suggesting the egg came first.
Rob: Exactly, Sylvia! It's fascinating how many things we perceive as paradoxes can be clarified with a bit more knowledge or a different perspective. People attach too much weight to what they think is a paradox, when what you have to do is try to solve it with more observation and the scientific method. Most paradoxes are simply hard problems and thought experiments. A Fauxparadox is a playground for grifters the naïve and fools.
Rob: Exactly, Sylvia! It's fascinating how many things we perceive as paradoxes can be clarified with a bit more knowledge or a different perspective. People attach too much weight to what they think is a paradox, when what you have to do is try to solve it with more observation and the scientific method. Most paradoxes are simply hard problems and thought experiments. A Fauxparadox is a playground for grifters the naïve and fools.
by robtyrie August 20, 2023
Get the Fauxparadoxmug. Hey Jimmy, you have time to go get your wallet, Uber says it is 4 mins to arriving here, but there is always UberLag... we have at least 10 minutes.
by robtyrie December 1, 2016
Get the UberLagmug. NoGPTpreneur, n.
A smart person who creates and sells specialized AI applications or services built using generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) models, technologies and software tools from AI Platform vendors. The application can becom a viable, useful and profitable business for the person.
Etymology: Portmanteau word. A blend of GPT, representing the machine learning models developed by OpenAI, + entrepreneur, referring to someone who sets up and runs a new business.
A smart person who creates and sells specialized AI applications or services built using generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) models, technologies and software tools from AI Platform vendors. The application can becom a viable, useful and profitable business for the person.
Etymology: Portmanteau word. A blend of GPT, representing the machine learning models developed by OpenAI, + entrepreneur, referring to someone who sets up and runs a new business.
"With the rise in popularity of chatbots like ChatGPT, Rob saw an opportunity to become a GPTpreneur. He leveraged his software architecture skills to build a customizable AI assistant for scheduling travel, meetings and managing calendars. His new venture, BizHelperGPT was an instant hit among busy professionals like Sylvia, a world-class futurist and consultant who relied on the tool to effortlessly coordinate her hectic schedule across time zones."
by robtyrie November 8, 2023
Get the GPTpreneurmug.